{"schema_version":"ocme-site-results-v1","locale":"en","page_type":"derivations","facts":{"questions":36000,"reviewed":36000,"display_candidates":0,"knowledge":302,"guides":299,"paths":59,"batches":360,"families":1441,"atlas":302,"core":80,"evidence":9,"formal_evidence":5,"formal_subjects":4,"lean_files":6,"lean_toolchain":"leanprover/lean4:v4.30.0","question_state":"candidate","english_state":"ai_candidate","question_Lean":"NOT_RUN","canonical_truth_promotion":false},"filters":{"q":"mko-conditional-expectation"},"kind":"guides","total":1,"pages":1,"page":1,"entries":[{"id":"derivation-mko-conditional-expectation-01","title":{"zh-Hant":"有限條件期望：由分割生成的 σ 代數上求 E[X|G]，含零質量區塊","en":"Finite conditional expectation: computing E[X|G] for a partition-generated σ-algebra, including a zero-mass block"},"summary":{"zh-Hant":"在 Ω={0,1,2,3,4} 上，質量依序為 1/8、3/8、1/4、1/4、0，X 的值依序為 4、0、2、6、10，G 由分割 {0,1}、{2,3}、{4} 生成。由條件期望的兩項定義（G 可測、在每個 G 事件上積分相同）求出 E[X|G] 的全部版本，證明它在兩個正質量區塊上必為 1 與 4，在零質量區塊 {4} 上可取任意值（只幾乎處處決定），並說明逐點條件化、只核總期望與不加權平均為何都錯。","en":"On Ω={0,1,2,3,4} with masses 1/8, 3/8, 1/4, 1/4, 0 and X taking the values 4, 0, 2, 6, 10 in order, let G be generated by the partition {0,1}, {2,3}, {4}. From the two defining conditions of conditional expectation (G-measurable, same integral on every event of G), find all versions of E[X|G]: prove they must equal 1 and 4 on the two positive-mass blocks and may take any value on the zero-mass block {4} (determined only almost surely), and explain why pointwise conditioning, checking only the total expectation, and the unweighted mean are all wrong."},"mko_ids":["mko-conditional-expectation"]}],"title":"Concept derivation guides"}