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Question 3153: Positive-Probability Eligibility of a Conditioning Event

On this page
  1. Original question and givens
  2. Definition and scope
  3. Step-by-step derivation
  4. Reverse checks
  5. Result
  6. This question review and source binding

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R0005-03153 · q-20261003-advance-20261004-r07-conditional-probability-0053

Original question and givens

The nonempty finite sample space is S={-10, -9, -8, -7}, with event family F=𝒫(S). In the displayed order of S, the nonnegative normalized weights are [2/(12), 3/(12), 4/(12), 3/(12)], summing exactly to one. Does B={-9} meet the positive-probability requirement for defining P(A|B)?

  • G001 — The nonempty finite sample space is S={-10, -9, -8, -7}, with event family F=𝒫(S). In the displayed order of S, the nonnegative normalized weights are [2/(12), 3/(12), 4/(12), 3/(12)], summing exactly to one. Does B={-9} meet the positive-probability requirement for defining P(A|B)?

Definition and scope

Use the original question domain, assumptions and cited MKO definitions. This item has second-context mathematical and bilingual review, with the model, answer and every arithmetic step independently recomputed from the original parameters; the source question remains a candidate.

Step-by-step derivation

S001 · implies

Before

S={-10, -9, -8, -7};no particular A supplied;B={-9};F=𝒫(S)

After

events are declared subsets;conditioning needs P(B)>0

Conditions: none

𝒫(S) is the full event powerset,not a probability value.A nonempty event may have probability0.When checking B's eligibility,do not invent an unspecified A.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: conditional_model_domain · Uses: G001

S002 · calculation

Before

total weight numerator := sum(2, 3, 4, 3)

After

total weight numerator = 12

Conditions: none

Nonnegative weights must sum to the common positive denominator to give total probability1.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S001

S003 · implies

Before

[[-10, 2], [-9, 3], [-8, 4], [-7, 3]]

After

weights sum to 12;normalization verified

Conditions: none

Weights align with the original S order;do not sort S while leaving weights in their old positions.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: weight_alignment_and_normalization · Uses: G001, S002

S004 · calculation

Before

B weight numerator := sum(3)

After

B weight numerator = 3

Conditions: none

Sum aligned weights over the event;zero-mass outcomes do not become positive mass.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S003

S005 · calculation

Before

B probability mass := div(3, 12)

After

B probability mass = 1/4

Conditions: none

Divide by the common positive denominator to obtain exact probability.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S004

S006 · implies

Before

P(B)=1/4

After

conditioning eligible=Yes

Conditions: none

The ordinary conditional ratio requires P(B)>0;when P(B)=0 do not assign0 to an undefined ratio.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: positive_conditioning_eligibility · Uses: G001, S005

Reverse checks

  • S006 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
  • S005 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute B probability mass with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S004 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute B weight numerator with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S003 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
  • S002 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute total weight numerator with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S001 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.

Result

Yes

The full substitutions and premise checks give the original answer; source identity,format and status are unchanged.

This question review and source binding

Review date: 2026-10-26

Original questions, answers, step expressions, numeric ASTs and historical records are retained. Source candidate labels remain historical and are not overwritten as formal proof.

Source hashes and review receipts
  • input commit: 0f7be61e2c22317a4075561dc822c87d881a50db
  • original question SHA-256: 5d42e30818e75ad23e946621eae6f94ba5d6499f24b1033040f3627ec8b4a520
  • candidate record SHA-256: b445deae818e757890281a7ce66fdd244c280553c62a94081116ee3f10d77a85
  • semantic review receipt SHA-256: 5d74de11610ebc6037a4fc9946d77154d4ed18389f8f0feeb823148b6320c4c2
  • question-first witness SHA-256: 1fba4ab0f13c2cfcc4d9fdebe492c442d43dd45700394a443daa28f333355ed9
  • Lean: NOT_RUN · human review: NOT_PERFORMED
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