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Question 31717: Expectation in a Nonuniform Finite Model

On this page
  1. Original question and givens
  2. Definition and scope
  3. Step-by-step derivation
  4. Reverse checks
  5. Result
  6. This question review and source binding

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R0062-31717 · q-20261004-advance-20261005-r06-expectation-0017

Original question and givens

The nonempty finite sample space is S={0, 1, 2, 3}, with event family F=𝒫(S). The total function X:S→R has table {(0, 6), (1, 6), (2, 24), (3, 1015)}. In the displayed order of S, the nonnegative probability weights are [1/(22), 18/(22), 3/(22), 0/(22)], summing exactly to one. Compute E[X] exactly as a reduced positive-denominator fraction; do not replace it with the ordinary average of distinct values.

  • G001 — The nonempty finite sample space is S={0, 1, 2, 3}, with event family F=𝒫(S). The total function X:S→R has table {(0, 6), (1, 6), (2, 24), (3, 1015)}. In the displayed order of S, the nonnegative probability weights are [1/(22), 18/(22), 3/(22), 0/(22)], summing exactly to one. Compute E[X] exactly as a reduced positive-denominator fraction; do not replace it with the ordinary average of distinct values.

Definition and scope

Use the original question domain, assumptions and cited MKO definitions. This item has second-context mathematical and bilingual review, with the model, answer and every arithmetic step independently recomputed from the original parameters; the source question remains a candidate.

Step-by-step derivation

S001 · implies

Before

source roles = [qf-expectation-weighted, no-domain-field, expectation, no-form-field]

After

derived = [[reduced_fraction_RETAIN1_STRING]]

Conditions: none

Check THIS bank interface:BASE equations use form/domain;BASE events/complement have no operation;factorials have no domain.ext18 uses local hyphens,other legacy operations underscores.Do not force every answer into a tuple or fraction.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: R62_EXACT_source_keys_domain_operation_form_AND_output_types · Uses: G001

S002 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot0 := sum(0, 1)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot0 = 1

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S001

S003 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot1 := sum(1, 18)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot1 = 19

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S002

S004 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot2 := sum(19, 3)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot2 = 22

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S003

S005 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot3 := sum(22, 0)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot3 = 22

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S004

S006 · implies

Before

source roles = [[0, 1, 2, 3], powerset(S), [1, 18, 3, 0], 22, [6, 6, 24, 1015], not-supplied]

After

derived = [[0, 1, 2, 3], 22, Yes]

Conditions: none

S is nonempty,distinct and≤100;weights,X/Y align to ORIGINAL S slots.F is exactly powerset(S),weights nonnegative,denominator positive,and total EXACTLYden.EVEN at a=0 or null weights validate ALL raw fields;never silently uniformize.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Expectation_FULL_model_RAW_slots_SAME_alignment_and_normalized_law · Uses: G001, S005

S007 · implies

Before

source roles = [0, 0, expectation, 6, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied]

After

derived = [6]

Conditions: none

Transform at EACH ORIGINAL outcome BEFORE using its aligned weight.Never sort S,X,Y,weights independently.Null-weight values remain original data;do not delete them to repair inputs or infer a range.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Expectation_EACH_original_outcome_transformation_BEFORE_weight · Uses: G001, S006

S008 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL slot0 weight times transformed value := mul(1, 6)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL slot0 weight times transformed value = 6

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S007

S009 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot0 := sum(0, 6)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot0 = 6

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S008

S010 · implies

Before

source roles = [1, 1, expectation, 6, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied]

After

derived = [6]

Conditions: none

Transform at EACH ORIGINAL outcome BEFORE using its aligned weight.Never sort S,X,Y,weights independently.Null-weight values remain original data;do not delete them to repair inputs or infer a range.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Expectation_EACH_original_outcome_transformation_BEFORE_weight · Uses: G001, S009

S011 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL slot1 weight times transformed value := mul(18, 6)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL slot1 weight times transformed value = 108

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S010

S012 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot1 := sum(6, 108)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot1 = 114

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S011

S013 · implies

Before

source roles = [2, 2, expectation, 24, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied]

After

derived = [24]

Conditions: none

Transform at EACH ORIGINAL outcome BEFORE using its aligned weight.Never sort S,X,Y,weights independently.Null-weight values remain original data;do not delete them to repair inputs or infer a range.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Expectation_EACH_original_outcome_transformation_BEFORE_weight · Uses: G001, S012

S014 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL slot2 weight times transformed value := mul(3, 24)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL slot2 weight times transformed value = 72

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S013

S015 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot2 := sum(114, 72)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot2 = 186

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S014

S016 · implies

Before

source roles = [3, 3, expectation, 1015, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied, not-supplied]

After

derived = [1015]

Conditions: none

Transform at EACH ORIGINAL outcome BEFORE using its aligned weight.Never sort S,X,Y,weights independently.Null-weight values remain original data;do not delete them to repair inputs or infer a range.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Expectation_EACH_original_outcome_transformation_BEFORE_weight · Uses: G001, S015

S017 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL slot3 weight times transformed value := mul(0, 1015)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL slot3 weight times transformed value = 0

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S016

S018 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot3 := sum(186, 0)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot3 = 186

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S017

S019 · calculation

Before

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator over denominator := div(186, 22)

After

Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator over denominator = 93/11

Conditions: none

Use ORIGINAL operands and declared order for exact integer/rational arithmetic,not floats.Bounds are family-specific:do not revalidate derived values as RAW inputs or add blanket SAFE/n64 caps to BASE families.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S018

S020 · implies

Before

source roles = [[0, 1, 2, 3], [1, 18, 3, 0], 22, expectation, [6, 6, 24, 1015]]

After

derived = [[6, 108, 72, 0], 186, 93/11]

Conditions: none

In the QUALIFIED SAME probability law,E[Z]=Σw_iZ(s_i)/q.Affine gives aE[X]+b and a same-model sum gives E[X]+E[Y]WITHOUT independence;this does not imply a product-expectation formula.A constant has mean c because total mass is1.Negative/unattained means are legal;retain/1.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Expectation_LINEARITY_qualified_SAME_law_NOT_independence_or_sample_mean · Uses: G001, S019

Reverse checks

  • S020 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the ORIGINAL inputs,field roles,domain and premises.Consistency does not imply unique recovery of premises.Keep finite checking,independent review,formal proof and publication separate.
  • S019 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator over denominator with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S018 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot3 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S017 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL slot3 weight times transformed value with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S016 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the ORIGINAL inputs,field roles,domain and premises.Consistency does not imply unique recovery of premises.Keep finite checking,independent review,formal proof and publication separate.
  • S015 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot2 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S014 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL slot2 weight times transformed value with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S013 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the ORIGINAL inputs,field roles,domain and premises.Consistency does not imply unique recovery of premises.Keep finite checking,independent review,formal proof and publication separate.
  • S012 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S011 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL slot1 weight times transformed value with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S010 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the ORIGINAL inputs,field roles,domain and premises.Consistency does not imply unique recovery of premises.Keep finite checking,independent review,formal proof and publication separate.
  • S009 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weighted numerator through slot0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S008 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL slot0 weight times transformed value with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S007 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the ORIGINAL inputs,field roles,domain and premises.Consistency does not imply unique recovery of premises.Keep finite checking,independent review,formal proof and publication separate.
  • S006 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the ORIGINAL inputs,field roles,domain and premises.Consistency does not imply unique recovery of premises.Keep finite checking,independent review,formal proof and publication separate.
  • S005 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot3 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S004 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot2 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S003 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S002 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Expectation ORIGINAL weight total through slot0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S001 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the ORIGINAL inputs,field roles,domain and premises.Consistency does not imply unique recovery of premises.Keep finite checking,independent review,formal proof and publication separate.

Result

93/11

The full substitutions and premise checks give the original answer; source identity,format and status are unchanged.

This question review and source binding

Review date: 2026-10-26

Original questions, answers, step expressions, numeric ASTs and historical records are retained. Source candidate labels remain historical and are not overwritten as formal proof.

Source hashes and review receipts
  • input commit: 0f7be61e2c22317a4075561dc822c87d881a50db
  • original question SHA-256: 216b75ff23e12ae0c5a478158b368f5e6321dd00149c223bee47f8abbbdd13b4
  • candidate record SHA-256: 97f011107babb8382de6ad5e568ab59913cead494683271f6e92470b3a23b17a
  • semantic review receipt SHA-256: 963099ffc9f754069fdce6792949a85ed350472465eaceb3038fa8011cf672bd
  • question-first witness SHA-256: d7655324c5d11528e1af90b757384cebd3313e19dc5f6f5b9b8ea7624fb06f6f
  • Lean: NOT_RUN · human review: NOT_PERFORMED
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