# Question 14012: A Selected Pair of Value Events under the Same Joint Law

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This teaching derivation has second-context AI mathematical and bilingual semantic review, limited to the model and assumptions stated in this question. It has no human review or new Lean proof and does not promote the original question or MKO to Canonical truth.

R0027-14012 · q-20261014-advance-20261028-r06-random-variable-independence-0062



## Original question and givens

Use the complete joint grid with original x_values=[-1, 24], y_values=[1, 31], and aligned row-by-column exact masses=[[20/49, 15/49], [8/49, 6/49]]. Value labels must be distinct in each nonempty list, all masses nonnegative and their total exactly 1. Preserve grid order and zero masses; all marginals, events and moments use this same law. Two-variable independence requires factorization for every grid pair; it implies neither identical distribution, IID, Markov behavior nor larger-family mutual independence. Use exact reduced rational outputs with positive denominators; omit /1 for integers. x_event=[24], y_event=[1] must use labels from their respective variable ranges. Normalize them as increasing distinct sets. Give (x_event,y_event,P_X_event,P_Y_event,P_joint,product,equal?).


- G001 — Use the complete joint grid with original x_values=[-1, 24], y_values=[1, 31], and aligned row-by-column exact masses=[[20/49, 15/49], [8/49, 6/49]]. Value labels must be distinct in each nonempty list, all masses nonnegative and their total exactly 1. Preserve grid order and zero masses; all marginals, events and moments use this same law. Two-variable independence requires factorization for every grid pair; it implies neither identical distribution, IID, Markov behavior nor larger-family mutual independence. Use exact reduced rational outputs with positive denominators; omit /1 for integers. x_event=[24], y_event=[1] must use labels from their respective variable ranges. Normalize them as increasing distinct sets. Give (x_event,y_event,P_X_event,P_Y_event,P_joint,product,equal?).





## Definition and scope

Use the original question domain, assumptions and cited MKO definitions. This item has second-context mathematical and bilingual review, with the model, answer and every arithmetic step independently recomputed from the original parameters; the source question remains a candidate.


- [mko-random-variable-independence](https://ocme.evemisslab.com/en/mko/mko-random-variable-independence/)





## Step-by-step derivation

S001 · calculationBefore

joint grid model whole mass sum := sum(20/49, 15/49, 8/49, 6/49)

After

joint grid model whole mass sum = 1

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001





S002 · impliesBefore

joint grid model:raw aligned masses=[[20, 49], [15, 49], [8, 49], [6, 49]]

After

normalized masses=[20/49, 15/49, 8/49, 6/49];nonnegative=Yes;total=1

Conditions: none

First qualify nonnegativity and exact unit total on one complete finite probability model.Retain zero-mass atoms;do not assume uniformity or substitute another model.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: whole_finite_probability_law_not_uniform_assumption · Uses: G001, S001





S003 · impliesBefore

original x row labels=[-1, 24];original y column labels=[1, 31]

After

normalized aligned row-by-column joint grid=[[20/49, 15/49], [8/49, 6/49]]

Conditions: none

Each value list is distinct but need not be numerically sorted.Pair every mass with its original row/column,including zero cells;sorting values must not misalign the grid.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: RV_joint_grid_original_order_not_value_sort · Uses: G001, S002





S004 · calculationBefore

X row0 marginal := sum(20/49, 15/49)

After

X row0 marginal = 5/7

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S003





S005 · calculationBefore

X row1 marginal := sum(8/49, 6/49)

After

X row1 marginal = 2/7

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S004





S006 · calculationBefore

Y column0 marginal := sum(20/49, 8/49)

After

Y column0 marginal = 4/7

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S005





S007 · calculationBefore

Y column1 marginal := sum(15/49, 6/49)

After

Y column1 marginal = 3/7

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S006





S008 · impliesBefore

raw x event=[24];raw y event=[1]

After

normalized events=[[24], [1]];original matching rows=[1];columns=[0]

Conditions: none

Normalize value events as sets and require their declared ranges.Then use original grid indices,not value-as-index lookups or marginals from another model.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: RV_value_event_range_guard_and_grid_indices · Uses: G001, S007





S009 · calculationBefore

selected X event mass := sum(2/7)

After

selected X event mass = 2/7

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S008





S010 · calculationBefore

selected Y event mass := sum(4/7)

After

selected Y event mass = 4/7

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S009





S011 · calculationBefore

selected joint event rectangle mass := sum(8/49)

After

selected joint event rectangle mass = 8/49

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S010





S012 · calculationBefore

selected event marginal product := mul(2/7, 4/7)

After

selected event marginal product = 8/49

Conditions: none

Compute exactly from original roles,complete pairings and established intermediates,retaining denominators,signs and zeros.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S011





S013 · impliesBefore

P_X_event=2/7;P_Y_event=4/7;P_joint=8/49;product=8/49

After

selected event pair factorizes=Yes;not an all-event independence certificate

Conditions: none

One passing event pair does not replace all-cell factorization.Full or empty events may pass even in a dependent model.

Step identifiers and dependenciesRule: RV_one_event_pair_not_all_events · Uses: G001, S012









## Reverse checks


- S013 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
- S012 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute selected event marginal product with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S011 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute selected joint event rectangle mass with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S010 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute selected Y event mass with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S009 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute selected X event mass with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S008 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
- S007 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Y column1 marginal with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S006 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Y column0 marginal with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S005 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute X row1 marginal with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S004 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute X row0 marginal with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
- S003 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
- S002 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
- S001 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute joint grid model whole mass sum with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.





## Result

([24], [1], 2/7, 4/7, 8/49, 8/49, Yes)

The full substitutions and premise checks give the original answer; source identity,format and status are unchanged.





## This question review and source binding

Review date: 2026-10-26

Original questions, answers, step expressions, numeric ASTs and historical records are retained. Source candidate labels remain historical and are not overwritten as formal proof.

Source hashes and review receipts
- input commit: 0f7be61e2c22317a4075561dc822c87d881a50db
- original question SHA-256: 3eedce3bdf374df0a96581dd52b5afe79b476353860c9c022705e8936c6c194d
- candidate record SHA-256: f54f0de45b0cb721c846d95477060af0723c90f97511a413356ccffa00d42f63
- semantic review receipt SHA-256: e49bf5eaa968c09ebac4ad538ce58251671ed922c957cee1471cfc7b68934bfe
- question-first witness SHA-256: a7976057c26051fab92342fc95d48af224466c0e1e4ab6ae4c8811c02772e6da
- Lean: NOT_RUN · human review: NOT_PERFORMED

[Same-source full JSON](https://ocme.evemisslab.com/data/question-derivations/questions/q-20261014-advance-20261028-r06-random-variable-independence-0062.json)




