Explore related knowledge and questions →

Question 27165: A Complete Precommitted Interval Procedure Keeps Every Probability Alignment

On this page
  1. Original question and givens
  2. Definition and scope
  3. Step-by-step derivation
  4. Reverse checks
  5. Result
  6. This question review and source binding

Return to catalogue page 136

← Question derivation index · Original question batch

R0053-27165 · q-20261015-advance-20261118-r03-finite-confidence-interval-coverage-0015

Original question and givens

Use complete theta values=[0, 1], samples=[a, b], theta/sample-aligned probability rows=[[15/17, 2/17], [2/17, 15/17]], and sample-aligned closed intervals=[[0, 0], [1, 1]]. The interval procedure is total, precommitted and independent of the unknown theta. Give (theta_values, samples, aligned_closed_intervals, aligned_probability_rows, procedure_qualified, qualification_statement).

  • G001 — Use complete theta values=[0, 1], samples=[a, b], theta/sample-aligned probability rows=[[15/17, 2/17], [2/17, 15/17]], and sample-aligned closed intervals=[[0, 0], [1, 1]]. The interval procedure is total, precommitted and independent of the unknown theta. Give (theta_values, samples, aligned_closed_intervals, aligned_probability_rows, procedure_qualified, qualification_statement).

Definition and scope

Use the original question domain, assumptions and cited MKO definitions. This item has second-context mathematical and bilingual review, with the model, answer and every arithmetic step independently recomputed from the original parameters; the source question remains a candidate.

Step-by-step derivation

S001 · implies

Before

source roles = [ci-procedure-qualification]

After

derived = [[theta_values, samples, aligned_closed_intervals, aligned_probability_rows, procedure_qualified, qualification_statement]]

Conditions: none

List the complete source field order and mode-specific roles without JavaScript or answer-shape inference;No,undefined and infinity retain their distinct meanings.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: source_ordered_fields_without_JS · Uses: G001

S002 · implies

Before

source roles = [[0, 1], [a, b], [[[15, 17], [2, 17]], [[2, 17], [15, 17]]], [[0, 0], [1, 1]]]

After

derived = [[0, 1], [a, b], [[0, 0], [1, 1]], [[15/17, 2/17], [2/17, 15/17]], [[a, [0, 0], 0], [b, [1, 1], 1]]]

Conditions: none

Bind intervals to ORIGINAL samples and probability rows/columns to ORIGINAL theta/samples BEFORE sorting those data together.Source13 theta order is numeric and sample order English canonical.Intervals are ordered and closed;each theta law is nonnegative and normalized.The same precommitted,total I(X) does not depend on unknown theta.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: CI_ORIGINAL_theta_sample_interval_probability_alignment_Source13_numeric · Uses: G001, S001

S003 · calculation

Before

CI theta0 ORIGINAL probability normalization column0 := sum(0, 15/17)

After

CI theta0 ORIGINAL probability normalization column0 = 15/17

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles and established intermediates exactly;no approximation,slot substitution or internally consistent changed operand.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S002

S004 · calculation

Before

CI theta0 ORIGINAL probability normalization column1 := sum(15/17, 2/17)

After

CI theta0 ORIGINAL probability normalization column1 = 1

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles and established intermediates exactly;no approximation,slot substitution or internally consistent changed operand.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S003

S005 · calculation

Before

CI theta1 ORIGINAL probability normalization column0 := sum(0, 2/17)

After

CI theta1 ORIGINAL probability normalization column0 = 2/17

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles and established intermediates exactly;no approximation,slot substitution or internally consistent changed operand.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S004

S006 · calculation

Before

CI theta1 ORIGINAL probability normalization column1 := sum(2/17, 15/17)

After

CI theta1 ORIGINAL probability normalization column1 = 1

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles and established intermediates exactly;no approximation,slot substitution or internally consistent changed operand.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S005

S007 · calculation

Before

CI theta0 ORIGINAL included coverage column0 := sum(0, 15/17)

After

CI theta0 ORIGINAL included coverage column0 = 15/17

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles and established intermediates exactly;no approximation,slot substitution or internally consistent changed operand.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S006

S008 · implies

Before

source roles = [0, [a, b], [[0, 0], [1, 1]], [15/17, 2/17]]

After

derived = [[[a, 0, 0, 0, Yes, 15/17], [b, 1, 1, 0, No, 2/17]], 15/17]

Conditions: none

Fix the true theta and test EVERY possible sample for L(x)<=theta<=U(x),including equality at either endpoint.Sum P_theta(x) only over hits.This is repeated-sampling coverage,not a posterior for theta after seeing data.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: CI_EVERY_sample_closed_endpoint_membership_AND_weighted_coverage · Uses: G001, S007

S009 · calculation

Before

CI theta1 ORIGINAL included coverage column1 := sum(0, 15/17)

After

CI theta1 ORIGINAL included coverage column1 = 15/17

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles and established intermediates exactly;no approximation,slot substitution or internally consistent changed operand.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S008

S010 · implies

Before

source roles = [1, [a, b], [[0, 0], [1, 1]], [2/17, 15/17]]

After

derived = [[[a, 0, 0, 1, No, 2/17], [b, 1, 1, 1, Yes, 15/17]], 15/17]

Conditions: none

Fix the true theta and test EVERY possible sample for L(x)<=theta<=U(x),including equality at either endpoint.Sum P_theta(x) only over hits.This is repeated-sampling coverage,not a posterior for theta after seeing data.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: CI_EVERY_sample_closed_endpoint_membership_AND_weighted_coverage · Uses: G001, S009

Reverse checks

  • S010 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the complete original data,step operands and premises;finite checks,conditional named-theorem use and general formal proof remain distinct.
  • S009 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute CI theta1 ORIGINAL included coverage column1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S008 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the complete original data,step operands and premises;finite checks,conditional named-theorem use and general formal proof remain distinct.
  • S007 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute CI theta0 ORIGINAL included coverage column0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S006 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute CI theta1 ORIGINAL probability normalization column1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S005 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute CI theta1 ORIGINAL probability normalization column0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S004 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute CI theta0 ORIGINAL probability normalization column1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S003 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute CI theta0 ORIGINAL probability normalization column0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S002 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the complete original data,step operands and premises;finite checks,conditional named-theorem use and general formal proof remain distinct.
  • S001 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check the complete original data,step operands and premises;finite checks,conditional named-theorem use and general formal proof remain distinct.

Result

([0, 1], [a, b], [[0, 0], [1, 1]], [[15/17, 2/17], [2/17, 15/17]], Yes, total_precommitted_theta_independent_interval_procedure)

The full substitutions and premise checks give the original answer; source identity,format and status are unchanged.

This question review and source binding

Review date: 2026-10-26

Original questions, answers, step expressions, numeric ASTs and historical records are retained. Source candidate labels remain historical and are not overwritten as formal proof.

Source hashes and review receipts
  • input commit: 0f7be61e2c22317a4075561dc822c87d881a50db
  • original question SHA-256: c05113aa808fcc2814b372c916c8d66d2ce795c6f2d1da98f5422b3b1e038ce9
  • candidate record SHA-256: 68e4146c4efdd8256a36cb9f765e4c50e581393112b9dea047647029f0beeb0b
  • semantic review receipt SHA-256: 1b7a62514347b82518305d5feb4369a52d7d44c442a0f2b131e9eb3cd7b45f62
  • question-first witness SHA-256: 79dc2a1077081f3ea2a03f75e32778163bf05e814cdf4c29ed86e567295f9ee1
  • Lean: NOT_RUN · human review: NOT_PERFORMED
Same-source full JSON