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Question 28384: Weighted Event Probability without Equiprobability

On this page
  1. Original question and givens
  2. Definition and scope
  3. Step-by-step derivation
  4. Reverse checks
  5. Result
  6. This question review and source binding

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R0055-28384 · q-20261003-r07-probability-0034

Original question and givens

The nonempty finite sample space is S={-4, -3, -2} and the event family is F=𝒫(S). In the displayed order of S, the weights are [9/(15), 4/(15), 2/(15)] and E={-2}. Find P(E) exactly as a reduced fraction with positive denominator; do not assume equiprobability.

  • G001 — The nonempty finite sample space is S={-4, -3, -2} and the event family is F=𝒫(S). In the displayed order of S, the weights are [9/(15), 4/(15), 2/(15)] and E={-2}. Find P(E) exactly as a reduced fraction with positive denominator; do not assume equiprobability.

Definition and scope

Use the original question domain, assumptions and cited MKO definitions. This item has second-context mathematical and bilingual review, with the model, answer and every arithmetic step independently recomputed from the original parameters; the source question remains a candidate.

Step-by-step derivation

S001 · implies

Before

source roles = [qf-probability-weighted-event, weighted_event]

After

derived = [[reduced_probability_fraction_retaining_integer_denominator1]]

Conditions: none

List this scalar/label/set/point answer role or mode-specific ordered fields,not an imposed universal tuple.Retain legacy domain/underscore operation and integer fractions with/1;original bilingual snapshots stay unchanged.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: source_answer_roles_or_ordered_fields_without_JS · Uses: G001

S002 · implies

Before

source roles = [[-4, -3, -2], powerset(S)]

After

derived = [[-4, -3, -2], 3]

Conditions: none

S is a nonempty set of at most100 distinct SAFE integers and F is explicitly the FULL powerset,not an event family inferred from one event.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Legacy_probability_NONEMPTY_S_FULLpowerset_exact_declared_event_family · Uses: G001, S001

S003 · calculation

Before

Legacy probability ORIGINAL ALL numerator weights sum := sum(9, 4, 2)

After

Legacy probability ORIGINAL ALL numerator weights sum = 15

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles exactly,without floating approximation or changed operands;extra teaching identities add no source-domain restrictions.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S002

S004 · implies

Before

source roles = [[-4, -3, -2], [9, 4, 2], 15]

After

derived = [[[-4, 9], [-3, 4], [-2, 2]], 15, Yes, Yes, Yes, Yes]

Conditions: none

Bind weights to ORIGINAL raw S slots;set sorting does not change these associations.Validity needs a positive denominator,all nonnegative weights and the BigInt total equal to the denominator.A model-validity question may legally answerNo,without0/0,sign repair or renormalizing another model.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Legacy_probability_ORIGINAL_rawS_weight_alignment_and_model_qualification · Uses: G001, S003

S005 · calculation

Before

Legacy probability ORIGINAL included outcome-2 running sum0 := sum(0, 2)

After

Legacy probability ORIGINAL included outcome-2 running sum0 = 2

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles exactly,without floating approximation or changed operands;extra teaching identities add no source-domain restrictions.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S004

S006 · calculation

Before

Legacy probability ORIGINAL normalized event or complement fraction := div(2, 15)

After

Legacy probability ORIGINAL normalized event or complement fraction = 2/15

Conditions: none

Substitute original roles exactly,without floating approximation or changed operands;extra teaching identities add no source-domain restrictions.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: exact_rational_arithmetic · Uses: G001, S005

S007 · implies

Before

source roles = [[-4, -3, -2], [-2], [[-4, 9], [-3, 4], [-2, 2]], 15]

After

derived = [2, [-4, -3], 2, 2/15]

Conditions: none

On the full powerset define every event by its ORIGINAL weighted sum.Nonnegativity,total1 and regrouping disjoint events give finite(and countable,for finite S)additivity.A nonempty E can have mass0.The complement is in the SAME S;do not substitute sorted-slot weights or uniform counts.

Step identifiers and dependencies

Rule: Legacy_complete_finite_probability_axioms_and_same_carrier_complement · Uses: G001, S006

Reverse checks

  • S007 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check complete original data,operands and premises;finite checks,conditional reasoning,formal proof and publication authority remain distinct.
  • S006 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Legacy probability ORIGINAL normalized event or complement fraction with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S005 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Legacy probability ORIGINAL included outcome-2 running sum0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S004 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check complete original data,operands and premises;finite checks,conditional reasoning,formal proof and publication authority remain distinct.
  • S003 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute Legacy probability ORIGINAL ALL numerator weights sum with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
  • S002 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check complete original data,operands and premises;finite checks,conditional reasoning,formal proof and publication authority remain distinct.
  • S001 · premise_and_result_audit — Reverse-check complete original data,operands and premises;finite checks,conditional reasoning,formal proof and publication authority remain distinct.

Result

2/15

The full substitutions and premise checks give the original answer; source identity,format and status are unchanged.

This question review and source binding

Review date: 2026-10-26

Original questions, answers, step expressions, numeric ASTs and historical records are retained. Source candidate labels remain historical and are not overwritten as formal proof.

Source hashes and review receipts
  • input commit: 0f7be61e2c22317a4075561dc822c87d881a50db
  • original question SHA-256: 141d92fdfaf54d56bdaf7bd356287c08621b51e4f0cf2a40b56e438629185e21
  • candidate record SHA-256: 42c7be7fef5d6843b87e15b8f0640eaf7247b462c32827b3f0b61791a034b5b4
  • semantic review receipt SHA-256: 6af367dae24a584f3596525c4953bbc2115343efd68cc9083693eb5c1ef2e683
  • question-first witness SHA-256: 611eb69f3716404b968296a8b0d7d8c61b5ca18129d406f1ff9c7c11e10ffb4e
  • Lean: NOT_RUN · human review: NOT_PERFORMED
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