Question 4513: Every Centered Variance Contribution

Original question and givens

S={0,…,2}, F=P(S), masses=[13, 2, 1], D=16, and w_i=mass_i/D. Masses are nonnegative and sum exactly to D; uniform weights are not assumed. X=[-12, 2, 13] in index order. First take μ=E[X]; list w_i(X_i−μ)² in index order, without omitting zeros. Use exact reduced fractions with positive denominators, retaining /1 for integers.

• G001 — S={0,…,2}, F=P(S), masses=[13, 2, 1], D=16, and w_i=mass_i/D. Masses are nonnegative and sum exactly to D; uniform weights are not assumed. X=[-12, 2, 13] in index order. First take μ=E[X]; list w_i(X_i−μ)² in index order, without omitting zeros. Use exact reduced fractions with positive denominators, retaining /1 for integers.

Definition and scope

Use the original question domain, assumptions and cited MKO definitions. This item has second-context mathematical and bilingual review, with the model, answer and every arithmetic step independently recomputed from the original parameters; the source question remains a candidate.

• mko-variance

Step-by-step derivation

total mass numerator := sum(13, 2, 1)

total mass numerator = 16

probability weight0 := div(13, 16)

probability weight0 = 13/16

probability weight1 := div(2, 16)

probability weight1 = 1/8

probability weight2 := div(1, 16)

probability weight2 = 1/16

values=[-12, 2, 13];weights=[13/16, 1/8, 1/16]

known finite probability law,not a sampled estimate

target variable weighted value0 := mul(13/16, -12)

target variable weighted value0 = -39/4

target variable weighted value1 := mul(1/8, 2)

target variable weighted value1 = 1/4

target variable weighted value2 := mul(1/16, 13)

target variable weighted value2 = 13/16

target variable mean := sum(-39/4, 1/4, 13/16)

target variable mean = -139/16

centered difference0 := sub(-12, -139/16)

centered difference0 = -53/16

centered square0 := square(-53/16)

centered square0 = 2809/256

centered contribution0 := mul(13/16, 2809/256)

centered contribution0 = 36517/4096

centered difference1 := sub(2, -139/16)

centered difference1 = 171/16

centered square1 := square(171/16)

centered square1 = 29241/256

centered contribution1 := mul(1/8, 29241/256)

centered contribution1 = 29241/2048

centered difference2 := sub(13, -139/16)

centered difference2 = 347/16

centered square2 := square(347/16)

centered square2 = 120409/256

centered contribution2 := mul(1/16, 120409/256)

centered contribution2 = 120409/4096

[36517/4096, 29241/2048, 120409/4096]

all indexed centered-square contributions retained

Reverse checks

• S019 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
• S018 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered contribution2 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S017 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered square2 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S016 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered difference2 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S015 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered contribution1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S014 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered square1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S013 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered difference1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S012 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered contribution0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S011 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered square0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S010 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute centered difference0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S009 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute target variable mean with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S008 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute target variable weighted value2 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S007 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute target variable weighted value1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S006 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute target variable weighted value0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S005 · premise_and_result_audit — Check against the original data and this step's premises; a one-way implication is not an equivalence.
• S004 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute probability weight2 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S003 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute probability weight1 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S002 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute probability weight0 with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.
• S001 · premise_and_result_audit — Recompute total mass numerator with exact rational arithmetic, not rounded decimals.

Result

[36517/4096, 29241/2048, 120409/4096]

The full substitutions and premise checks give the original answer; source identity,format and status are unchanged.

This question review and source binding

Review date: 2026-10-26

Original questions, answers, step expressions, numeric ASTs and historical records are retained. Source candidate labels remain historical and are not overwritten as formal proof.