Skip to main content
OCMEBilingual mathematics & derivations繁體中文

OCME · Bilingual mathematics & derivations

Concept derivation guides

299 concept teaching guides, separate from the 36,000 individual question derivations.

Search all questions & derivations →

Concept guide

Finite conditional expectation: computing E[X|G] for a partition-generated σ-algebra, including a zero-mass block

On Ω={0,1,2,3,4} with masses 1/8, 3/8, 1/4, 1/4, 0 and X taking the values 4, 0, 2, 6, 10 in order, let G be generated by the partition {0,1}, {2,3}, {4}. From the two defining conditions of conditional expectation (G-measurable, same integral on every event of G), find all versions of E[X|G]: prove they must equal 1 and 4 on the two positive-mass blocks and may take any value on the zero-mass block {4} (determined only almost surely), and explain why pointwise conditioning, checking only the total expectation, and the unweighted mean are all wrong.

Finite conditional expectation

derivation-mko-conditional-expectation-01